Mathematics rules! You may not like it – tough! What’s this about? I’ve been saying that mathematics and probability applies to COVID-19. Of course – being NOBODY – nobody else is interested? Do I give a flying banana? I do not! Well, I’ve decided to post all that I’ve said in various forums. You like it or lump it. Did I say that I don’t give a flying banana? Lemme check. Yes I did!
This page will be updated daily to weekly, as I go on.
The locking down was time critical. Early harsh lockdown would have caused less knock-on effects. But our leaders were busy listening to scientists instead of using common sense.
The second wave of the virus (among a probably several more to come) means that the next lock down will need to be longer and harder.
Collateral damage from the virus – that is deaths not caused by direct effects – will be the result of years of penny pinching on health services, and poor preparation for pandemics. Don’t blame the virus. Hold your leaders to account.
The point is that your masters will discover too late that this virus is here to stay. It isn’t ‘a virus’ as such – it is a class of viruses, that is mutating every day. Successive mutations will find our weaknesses and exploit them in various waves.
“What our masters have been doing is reacting to ‘the virus’s’ moves. I say this will be proved to be stupid. I assert that the correct strategy is pro-acting on the virus. How? Thinking about every weakness and plugging them ahead of the virus’s evolutionary curve. In other words our psycho-social evolution needs to be many steps ahead of the virus and other viruses to come.
Re-opening economies around now when lagging behind the virus – no cure, no treatment, no solution to indirect effects – is therefore likely to make the situation worse. Bad timing. (If you got this far, I apologise for wasting your time – as my opinions hold no weight at all – my qualifications are that of ‘street cleaner’.)!
Hope has ousted reality – as your leaders, unbeknownst to most of you, are rather more occupied with preventing global financial meltdown. In their folly they are mindlessly encouraging people to shop, travel and mingle – in a last ditch attempt to stimulate ‘the economy’ back to life.
In invite you to reconsider the re-opening of the UK economy. I ask that government stay always ahead of the virus’s curve of attack. To wait on the best scientific evidence is like waiting to think about the trajectory’ your bat to a fast moving cricket ball. By the time you think about it, your middle stumps are gone. Like a good batsman one needs to rely on experience, skill and common sense.
Should you opt to reverse course soon, the government will be laughed at. If you lock us all down again tight, and no second wave hits us, you will be laughed at even more. None of that should not be a consideration.
The next 6 weeks are likely to show increasing hotspots all over the UK. The pattern was already played out in the great USA and in other countries.
Mr Johnson, please lock down the country before 4th July2020.
Mr Johnson, I trust your memory is clear for when you underestimated this virus and was shaking everybodeee’s hand when you ought not to have been doing so. Kindly do not make the same sort of mistake, because this time around the loss of life and suffering from chronic disabilities are likely to be far worse. Focus less on fighting obesity and concentrate on something more S. M. A. R. T.
Lock the country down before 31st July2020, to avoid 2nd and 3rd waves coming together for November 2020. Alternatively – listen to your scientists – who have misled you and this Nation. I’ll have a copy of what I said from my time-stamped screenshot. I know your people are out here combing the media forums nationally with their software in the back ends.
To Mr Johnson, I say – your third wave has started and your scientists are not seeing it – obviously, because they are totally obsessed with tangible evidence. Unstick from hard evidence. Human beings can make sound decisions even when there is a lack of evidence. This happens regularly in the civil justice system. Avoid the currently unrecognised-by-scientists second and third waves, coinciding in Nov 2020. Why Nov 2020? Ahhhh… you’ll need to consult with mathematicians (which I am not) on Fourier Analysis, to understand how to avoid the 4th wave slamming us, in the peak of winter.
In the last 4 months I warned that science itself – handicapped by empiricism – is a risk factor in the fight against the virus. The world has an entrenched belief that ‘evidence’ – what can be seen – is of value and to be acted on. Well, now we’re fighting an ‘enemy’ we can’t see. The enemy exploits every weakness in our socio-economic and psychological systems of operation. It uses those weaknesses against us. So ‘we’ become magnifiers of the ‘killing potential’ of that enemy….
I say again, LOCKDOWN the country now- and keep it locked down tight – until successive waves of the virus have fallen to near zero. That does not mean forever. Let’s avoid spin-doctoring. Health is the economy. It is not health or the economy.
»The analysis from the Joint Biosecurity Centre was measured, forensic and “terribly, terribly bleak”. On Thursday morning ministers on the Covid-19 operations committee were presented with a series of heatmaps showing the spread of coronavirus across different age groups in the north.«
I would appear based on the evidence from written history, that without hard evidence – but using alternative reasoning -1 was ahead of the JBC by 4 months! How is that possible? Below I catalogue what I said in these forums. The issue is NOT that I was right – but more importantly WHY I was ahead of the JBC and all UK scientists. Some require hard evidence – but then some don’t like repetition of the hard evidence, when it’s too painful. Hence painful evidence is to be avoided.
>>So now, what does it all mean today (31/10/2020)? We are where we are because:
1. – Our leaders relied on opinions based on lagging and unreliable data.
2. – Our leaders made political decisions that were lagging behind the curve of the virus’s assault.
3. – The slow reaction-time allowed the virus to bolt.
4. – Political decisions now – relying on scientists who are still lagging – are naturally late.
5. – The window of opportunity to contain the virus was lost.
6. – The cost to people’s lives and the economy is likely to be far more severe compared to if action was taken ‘ahead of the virus’.
7. – Failures of self-awareness and pattern-recognition are likely to be exploited by the virus in the future.
Expect full lockdown into January 2021 – though it’s likely to be dressed up as something else.<<