Prevention without prediction

by Captain Walker

Categories: Science & Medicine

Bandwagons of people believe that in order to prevent some terrible event happening, one must be able to predict what is likely to happen. In a social media world, crowd sentiment wins. Thankfully there is a reality beyond the confines of craniums!

I will avoid going back into my thoughts on prediction and risk, in this post. Some will need to play catch up.

You don’t have to predict when you will catch COVID to take protective measures e.g. avoiding crowds, closed poorly ventilated spaces, and wearing an appropriate mask etc.

Similarly you don’t have to predict that you will get run over by crossing a busy road, to prevent it – by using your eyes and ears properly and selecting an appropriate time to cross the road.

The infographic below is a general template for preventability. It is not a tutorial. In due course a more in depth analysis will appear on our affiliated site: Investigative Psychiatry.

Insults

Stupid: This is a stupid post because it is confusing!

CW: Good. Then I’ll prevent you from becoming more confused by returning you to your cage with much speed. Poof! You’re gone!

[collapse]

 

The reading of posts on this blog is subject to the Terms & Conditions. Unpalatable truths and personal experiences may be told. Nothing posted on this blog is directed at any identified person. On occasions individuals are quoted anonymously. That does not mean that they have been identified to the world. Should any person or organisation reading this blog find something that makes them feel or know that they  are being referred to - any such perceived identification does not mean 'identified to the world'. ‘Stupid' is an impish figment of my imagination who occasionally is allowed to pop up – and does not represent any known individual or individuals. ‘Stupid'  carries the characteristics groups of people with 'social media mindsets'. The treatment of  'Stupid' is not representative of the way people are treated in real life. Adverse inferences made are dismissed in advance. 

While the publisher and author have used their best efforts in preparing posts on this blog, they make no representation or warranties with respect to the accuracy or completeness of the contents  and specifically disclaim any implied warranties or fitness for a particular purpose. Posts on this blog do not contain all information available on various topics. Posts contain opinion based on facts, experience and other concepts. Opinions expressed are not advice nor intent on persuading any individual or other legal entity to adopt the opinions.  Posts are not created to be specific to any individual’s or organisation’s situation or needs. All persons are instructed to obey relevant policies and procedures that may apply to them. Departure from such, is at readers' own risk. You should consult with a professional with fiduciary duty to you, when making decisions. The author and publisher shall have no liability or responsibility to any person or entity regarding any loss or damage incurred, or alleged to have been incurred, directly or indirectly, by the information contained on this blog or hyperlinked from this blog. 


Other posts that may interest you...

The meaning of prediction

In this post I explore several things related to the meaning of prediction. I explore patterns in relation to trends. It is important to define what people take prediction to mean and what I mean by prediction. I’m so totally uninterested in what Google or some guru out there thinks ‘prediction‘ is! Why – cuz ... Read more

Achieved: Mission Impossible!

The photographs will be an instant distraction in this post. Yeah some saw a boiled or poached egg on plate, and will have thought ‘What’s great about that?!! FFS‘. Except that it isn’t ‘a boiled or poached egg’ in the usual sense of how eggs are boiled or poached (using water in a pot)!! It ... Read more

Patterns not predictions

As some will not know, I have been writing about ‘patterns‘ for quite some time. To be clear at the outset, for those who have not read what I have said, patterns predict nothing! Patterns create a probability in favour of the pattern. It is a simple as ‘If you visit KFC twice per month, ... Read more

Gambling with ferocious dogs and crossing roads

For many people – and I don’t know what percentage – taking any sort of chance is ‘a gamble‘ or ‘gambling‘. Therefore crossing the road is taking a gamble because that is taking a chance with one’s life or limb(s). For them it means that loads of people are gambling with their lives everyday. Likewise, ... Read more

Continue reading

Of missing trees, teapots, wallets and unicorns

The question “If a tree fell in a forest but no one saw or heard it fall, did it fall?” is a philosophical thought experiment that explores the nature of reality and our perception of it. I approach this problem ...
Read article

Whistle and die

Many are not aware of what happens to whistle blowers in the NHS. This is not going to be a lecture on the topic. What you get are links to Peter Duffy’s books – which you can find and read ...
Read article

The Great Dying and the great creation

Calm down – this is not about suicide. Jeez! Recently I came across by accident the BBC iPLAYER Series ‘Earth’. The first episode starts off with events of the Permian Period – the Great Dying – 300 to 252 million ...
Read article