future

The meaningful predictions equation

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I have written much on predictions before. The following equation appeared in a different format in The arrogance of mathematics and Chaos Theory. I haven’t changed the content of it; only the layout. I’ll explain in a while. There are major problems with predictions. The first big one is that all predictions depend on ‘the … Read more

Probability, Prediction and Risk

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I am overviewing my thoughts related to the two concepts ‘probability’ and ‘prediction’. The main reason why people want predictions, is to avoid risk materialising. Yes – I know some people would like a sound prediction for winning numbers on the next Euromillions jackpot. If you’re that type, move on swiftly. But look – life … Read more

Is greater social diversity increasing or decreasing individual ability to shape one’s own life?

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In what ways would one want to shape or reshape his life? Financial security/burden Maintain good health or treat disease. Have more time for leisure and personal interests. What is one’s life? Life is about living as a human. There is something about living in the human body – its psychology, physicality, spirituality. Living is … Read more

Prophet of doom or moronlogist?

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I am certainly not a prophet of anything! I’ve made a number of bold statements in a certain forum which have unfolded just as I expected. Predictions? Hold on – did I predict anything? I did not. None of my statements said ‘this is going to happen’. All my statements were probabilistic. I fully recognised … Read more

New year approaches but not much changes

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I’m not one for wishing people “Merry Xmas” and “Happy New Year” etc.  I need no lecture from anyone on how to be kind, civil, mannerly, respectful of others, and how to keep up appearances. The changes in the last few years about sending cards and wishing others ‘this’ and ‘that’, have come after much … Read more

The meaning of prediction

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In this post I explore several things related to the meaning of prediction. I explore patterns in relation to trends. It is important to define what people take prediction to mean and what I mean by prediction. I’m so totally uninterested in what Google or some guru out there thinks ‘prediction‘ is! Why – cuz … Read more