Probability, Prediction and Risk

I am overviewing my thoughts related to the two concepts ‘probability’ and ‘prediction’. The main reason why people want predictions, is to avoid risk materialising. Yes – I know some people would like a sound prediction for winning numbers on the next Euromillions jackpot. If you’re that type, move on swiftly. But look – life … Read more

Gambling with ferocious dogs and crossing roads

For many people – and I don’t know what percentage – taking any sort of chance is ‘a gamble‘ or ‘gambling‘. Therefore crossing the road is taking a gamble because that is taking a chance with one’s life or limb(s). For them it means that loads of people are gambling with their lives everyday. Likewise, … Read more

Intellectualisation – a psychological defence mechanism

Some say the ‘human mind’ is a wonderful thing. I’m not so sure about that. Lots of wonderful things have not so wonderful things about them. Those who look only at the brighter side of things will be more certain than me. I look at both sides and I consider human nature. I’ll avoid a debate … Read more

The harshness of the existential void

Meaning and purpose are important aspects of human life. I don’t think many will disagree. It becomes intolerable for many people when these two things are absent. Meaninglessness and purposelessness are very difficult to cope with. I’m a bit afraid to alert anyone reading this that there is a YouTube vid down below, because I … Read more

The nature and danger of belief

I should have been spending time on Netflix – but over the last few hours (near midnight on 22nd Jan 2022), I came across the video below (which could disappear). It is about Dawkins among a panel and a bunch of people in the audience. This triggered me to explore – again – the nature … Read more

What is causation and causality?

What causes you a pain in the neck or backside is important. So ‘cause‘, ‘causation‘ and ‘causality‘ should be important to everybody! But these words don’t mean exactly the same thing, though they sit in relation to each other. Who said this? I did! And you bet – I see these concepts pretty differently to … Read more