Observations on the world and its inhabitants
I have written much on predictions before. The following equation appeared in a different format in The arrogance of mathematics and Chaos Theory. I haven’t changed the content of it; only the layout. I’ll explain in a while. There are major problems with predictions. The first big one is that all predictions depend on ‘the ...
Ooops! How can Mathematics and Chaos Theory (M&CT) be arrogant – at all? Hmmm.. first one has to think about what ‘arrogance‘ means. Off you pop to the dictionary meaning. Yikes! It means, “an attitude of superiority manifested in an overbearing manner or in presumptuous claims or assumptions.” Mathematics and Chaos Theory can do all that, except make ...
Bandwagons of people believe that in order to prevent some terrible event happening, one must be able to predict what is likely to happen. In a social media world, crowd sentiment wins. Thankfully there is a reality beyond the confines of craniums! I will avoid going back into my thoughts on prediction and risk, in ...
As some will not know, I have been writing about ‘patterns‘ for quite some time. To be clear at the outset, for those who have not read what I have said, patterns predict nothing! Patterns create a probability in favour of the pattern. It is a simple as ‘If you visit KFC twice per month, ...
I am overviewing my thoughts related to the two concepts ‘probability’ and ‘prediction’. The main reason why people want predictions, is to avoid risk materialising. Yes – I know some people would like a sound prediction for winning numbers on the next Euromillions jackpot. If you’re that type, move on swiftly. But look – life ...
For many people – and I don’t know what percentage – taking any sort of chance is ‘a gamble‘ or ‘gambling‘. Therefore crossing the road is taking a gamble because that is taking a chance with one’s life or limb(s). For them it means that loads of people are gambling with their lives everyday. Likewise, ...
What causes you a pain in the neck or backside is important. So ‘cause‘, ‘causation‘ and ‘causality‘ should be important to everybody! But these words don’t mean exactly the same thing, though they sit in relation to each other. Who said this? I did! And you bet – I see these concepts pretty differently to ...
In this post I explore several things related to the meaning of prediction. I explore patterns in relation to trends. It is important to define what people take prediction to mean and what I mean by prediction. I’m so totally uninterested in what Google or some guru out there thinks ‘prediction‘ is! Why – cuz ...
Captain Walker
